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Dave Berger

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Posts posted by Dave Berger

  1. 1 hour ago, Dave Berger said:

    From my weekend preview:

    Media Coverage

    All UND men’s hockey games, home and away, can be heard on 96.1 FM (The Fox) and on stations across the UND Sports Home of Economy Radio Network, as well as through the iHeart Radio app. A webcast of this weekend’s action can also be purchased at https://portal.stretchinternet.com/atlantichockey ($10.99/day).

    Dave

     

     

    2 minutes ago, Redneksioux said:

    Anyone have experience with their webcast? For $10.99 I’d hope it’s hd and professionally done?

    No, but I thought I would give it a try. If it's awful (read: unwatchable), I'll work with the company to get my money back. And there's always Tim Hennessy on the radio as a fallback plan!

    Dave

  2. Just now, InHeavenThereIsNoBeer said:

    Can we watch this via webcast?

    From my weekend preview:

    Media Coverage

    All UND men’s hockey games, home and away, can be heard on 96.1 FM (The Fox) and on stations across the UND Sports Home of Economy Radio Network, as well as through the iHeart Radio app. A webcast of this weekend’s action can also be purchased at https://portal.stretchinternet.com/atlantichockey ($10.99/day).

    Dave

     

  3. On ‎12‎/‎1‎/‎2018 at 10:47 AM, Godsmack said:

    You must be a millennial and/or I’m an old fart because I’ve never heard of those bands before! I’ll have to go check ‘em out! I’m still stuck in the 1980’s (ala, Cinderella, Ratt, Megadeth, Eddie Belfour, Phil Sykes, Bob Joyce, Jon Casey, Jim Archibald, Gino Gasparini, etc). 

    Heavy Metal Hockey

    Ian Kidd wants to go to Detroit, too!

    Discuss. :)

    Dave

    • Upvote 2
  4. 8 minutes ago, Irish said:

    Agree that it should be a big recruiting tool.  Gersich leaving has been speculated on since the beginning of the year.  A bigger question is what is our plan to replace his scoring.  This didn't happen out of the blue.  I'm not sold on counting on player development to take up the slack.  We should have some big scorers in the pipeline every year.

     

    • Upvote 1
  5. 7 minutes ago, Cratter said:

    https://collegehockeyranked.com/forecast/pwrtournament/

    https://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/probabilityMatrix.php

    Are the differences between these two in that CHR runs the probabilities of games and the outcome is strictly based on that?

    While CHN does the same but weighs the games with the probability that certain teams win based on how good they are?

    For example CHR has Minnesota at 76% but CHN has them at 92%.

     

    Jim can certainly shed more light on this, but this is how he explains his methodology on the website:

    Each forecast is based on at least one million monte carlo simulations of the games in the described period. For each simulation, the PairWise Ranking (PWR) is calculated and the results tallied. The probabilities presented in the forecasts are the share of simulations in which a particular outcome occurred.

    The outcome of each game in each simulation is determined by random draw, with the probability of victory for each team set by their relative KRACH ratings. So, if the simulation set included a contest between team A with KRACH 300 and team B with KRACH 100, team A will win the game in very close to 75% of the simulations. I don’t simulate ties or home ice advantage.

    I'm assuming that CHN runs their simulations as a "coin flip" (i.e. the two teams in question have an equal chance of winning the game), but I haven't done any digging into that.

    Dave

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