Battle for the Penrose and postseason positioning

[GoalieMask]

3 hours ago, iluvdebbies said:

So you have CC finishing 7th?

The tea leaves show CC getting points this weekend and then takng one from SCSU at home.

[UND-RedSox fan]

Update with 3 games to go there are a couple of close battles for playoff positioning. UND moves a game ahead of SCSU. Duluth and Miami move a game ahead of Omaha. 

1) UND 16-4-1-1 50 points @Omaha and Home vs WMU

2) SCSU 15-5-1-1 47 points Home vs Duluth and @CC 

3) Denver 14-5-2-0 44 points @WMU and vs Omaha

T4) Miami 8-11-2-2 28 points vs CC and @Duluth

T4) Duluth 8-10-3-1 28 points @SCSU and vs Miami

6) Omaha 8-12-1-0 25 points vs UND and @Denver

7) WMU 5-15-1-1 17 points vs Denver and @UND

8) CC 4-16-1-0 13 points @Miami and vs SCSU

UND can finish with a maximum of 59 points and finish anywhere from 1st to 3rd. Falling behind Denver is unlikely but possible. They have a slightly more difficult remaining schedule than SCSU but have a 1 game lead. Tonight was huge for us.

SCSU can finish with a maximum of 56 points and finish anywhere from 1st to 3rd. Now they are only a game ahead of Denver. Seemed unlikely to many coming into tonight but they could realistically drop to 3rd. It is very unlikely a situation will occur where UND and SCSU finished tied and SCSU doesn't win the tiebreaker for seeding. Bad loss for SCSU.

Denver can finish with a maximum of 53 points and finish anywhere from 1st to 3rd. Finishing 1st will be a long shot as making up two games on two teams with only 4 games remaining is very unlikely. Finishing 2nd has become more possible but I still think they most likely will finish 3rd.

Miami can finish with a maximum of 37 points and finish anywhere from 4th to 6th. CC and WMU can no longer catch them. They have the most favorable remaining schedule of the 3 teams fighting for 4th. Miami has been playing their way up to the bubble. May be able to get to a possible auto-bid for the tournament.

Duluth can finish with a maximum of 37 points and finish anywhere from 4th to 6th. CC and WMU can no longer catch them. They have the second most favorable remaining schedule of the 3 teams. They will need to win the conference to make the national tournament.

Omaha can finish with a maximum of 34 points and finish anywhere from 4th to 7th. CC can no longer catch them. It is very unlikely that WMU will be able to catch them. They have the most difficult remaining schedule of the teams fighting for 4th. They are having a terrible 2nd half and are getting closer to being at risk of being on the bubble for the national tournament.

WMU can finish with a maximum of 25 points and finish anywhere from 6th to 8th. Need to win out with Omaha losing out to finish in 6th. 

CC can finish with a maximum of 22 points and will finish in the bottom two. 

Again this is a very top heavy season for the conference. UND has already matched the highest point total in the 3 year history of the conference. It is still possible that Denver finishes 3rd and has the 3rd highest point total in the short history of the conference. 

It is possible that the last weekend of the year can be the same matches as the quarterfinals.

[UND-RedSox fan]

As I was writing this up Duluth moved ahead of Miami in the Pairwise. Miami dropped from 17th to 21st after their game finished.