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bincitysioux

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Posts posted by bincitysioux

  1. 3 hours ago, farmer63 said:

    I have these 18 spots locked in

    MVFC (4) - NDSU, SDSU, UNI, Illinois St.

    Big Sky (4) - Montana, Sac St, Weber, Mont St

    Colonial (2) - JMU, Villinova

    Southern (1) - Wofford

    Ohio Valley (2) - SE Missouri, Austin Peay

    Southland (1) - Cen Arkansas

    Big South (1) - Monmouth

    Northeast (1) - Cen Conn St

    Patriot (1) -  Holy Cross

    Pioneer (1) - San Diago

    That leave 6 spots to fill...

    Contenders (8) :  Furman, SE Louisiana, Nichols St, Towson, Albany, Kennesaw St, S Illinois, and UND

    My guess they won't take both Towson and Albany... only 1 of them.  And they won't take both SE Louisiana and Nichols St..... only the winner.   So the other 6 will be in.  But that's just my guess.  Any major upsets could still change things.

    The situation in the Southland is quite interesting, and it is going to have ramifications for UND no matter how it shakes out.  Central Arkansas cannot get the AQ, as SELA and Nichols would both have the head-to-head tie breaker against them.  SELA vs Nichols this weekend is basically the defacto Southland Championship game and the winner gets the AQ.  If Central Arkansas wins (as they should) against Incarnate Word, they will have 9 DI wins including one against an FBS team making them a lock for an at-large berth.  I would be shocked if the loser of SELA v. Nichols gets an at-large berth.  All three of the Southland leaders, including Central Arkansas, are below UND in the Massey Ratings.

    Another potential problem for North Dakota is Kennesaw St.  For whatever reason, the pollsters just love Kennesaw.  They are currently 9th in the Coach's Poll, three spots ahead of Big South front-runner Monmouth who thrashed Kennesaw when they played.  Massey has Monmouth at 21, and Kennesaw at 31 respectively.  A loss by Kennesaw (unlikely) and a win by Monmouth this weekend would strengthen the case for UND.  

    It's going to be really close as to whether or not UND makes it.  I'm not overly optimistic.  Past results indicate that a 7-4 North Dakota team doesn't impress the selection committee.

    Before the season started, our Strength of Schedule was #1 in the land, based on 2018 results of course.  As it has shaken out, our current Strength of Schedule is #15.  That still could be favorable for us, as Towson is the only other bubble team with a higher SOS.........

  2. 6 hours ago, The Sicatoka said:

    I'm waiting for the FCS Massey Ratings to update to get a feel for what truly transpired yesterday.

    Updated Massey ratings show UND dropped 3 spots to #20 after yesterday's performance.......

  3. 1 minute ago, Cratter said:

    Not only did bubba not run the clock out before half he went for it on 4th and 4 from the the 50. 

     

    Ya how gutless was that?

  4. Offense doing it's part with 28 in the first half.

    Schmidt's defense is bending..........and breaking.  The D is making this 2 win team look all right......

    • Upvote 1
  5. 1 minute ago, BarnWinterSportsEngelstad said:

    The student section is always blanked out as is the visiting teams seats, being they are not available for sale to the public. Does not at all mean they are taken.

    Notice the ;) at the end of my post.  Sarcasm........

    • Upvote 2
  6. 25 minutes ago, Wilbur said:

    51 the o/u right now.  Didn't look at the weather forecast just yet, but that seems a tad high for Utah in November.

    60 degrees and sunny

  7. 1 hour ago, nodak651 said:

    Can't complain about our ranking after getting steamrolled by ISU.... again....

    I don't complain about OUR ranking.  But I do complain about Montana St being 8-10 spots above us.  Their resume isn't head and shoulders above ours, and they have a loss to us.  I think our teams are in a pretty similar place ......

  8. This will be just the 5th meeting ever between UND & Weber with all meetings coming in the Bubba Schweigert & Jay Hill era.  

    UND is 1-3 against them.

    • 2014:  24-12 Loss in GF.........................Weber's final record was 2-10
    • 2015:  25-24 Loss in Ogden..................Weber's final record was 6-5
    • 2016:  27-19 Win in GF...........................Weber's final record was 7-5
    • 2018:  35-30 Loss in GF.........................Weber's final record was 10-3

    It will be a tall order to win in Ogden this Saturday.  But we've been competitive with what is generally a solid team in recent years.  At the very least, our team doesn't have a track record of soiling themselves at the site of Weber like they do when they tangle with Idaho St.  

    Weber's D is legit, and their running game is questionable matchup for our defense.  We need to stack the box, and have faith that our DB's can hold up in man coverage against their QB who is not a great passer.  The key will be to contain Davis, who ran wild last week against Sac St who has a pretty good run defense.

    • Upvote 2
  9. Just now, Longtime fan said:

    Unds first sack in 12 qtrs

    That's the one saving grace of this defense, it can be opportunistic, and that was a good time for it to be!

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