I believe that's what is happening at UND. All the ND players that most are complaining about really want to try and prove themselves. However, when looking for that type of player, you're going to get a few that may not work out.
NIL affects every school one way or another. You are correct - it can't be used as a sole excuse for poor performance, but on the other hand, it needs to be addressed as a potential barrier to "success". It seems hard to accomplish a top 4 seed in the conference every year with bottom of the league NIL. Can it happen - absolutely. Should we be rooting for it to happen - absolutely. Should we expect it though?
I do wonder why we don't see a lot of MBB NIL fundraising attempts, or even conversations about it from the program. To me that comes across as a sign that maybe there is some writing on the wall... but who knows.
I'm hoping this team surprises us a little. Sounds like 4.5 D1 wins is the current over/under?